Week 12 College Football TV Schedule and Picks against the spread

Tulsa (2-7) at Central Florida (5-3)

These are the points per game of teams that Tulsa has played: Florida Atlantic: 22.6, Tulane: 17.6,
Temple: 23.6, South Florida: 17, Southern Methodist: 9.6.

These are the amount of points those teams scored against Tulsa's horrific defense: FAU: 50, Tulane: 28, Temple: 35, USF: 38, SMU: 28. Every game Tulsa has played this year has been over 59 points, while UCF has played one game over 55 points - when they played at UConn. UCF consistently plays up to the good teams and down the bad teams' level. Tulsa's defense is as bad UCF's offense and Tulsa's offense is as good as UCF's defense. Something has to give. In the Knight's four games, the over is 4-1. Tulsa is 8-1 to the over this season.

Pick: Tulsa first half +11
Pick: Over 55

Temple (5-4) at Penn State (5-4)

Temple is 8-2 against the spread after a straight up loss. Penn State is 2-7 against the spread the last nine after a straight up win. The under is 36-17 the last 53 non-conference games. The last 10 games that the over/under opened below 40 and had more than 66-percent of the bets on the under, the game has gone OVER nine of those times. The majority of the bets are on the under. In those games, the total has gone over by an average of 13.5 points per game. We all remember what happened with the over/under of 39 for the UConn/UCF game - UConn WON!! Let's hope for a couple of special team and defensive touchdowns. I can't believe I'm taking this.

Pick: Over 39

Memphis (6-3) at Tulane (3-6)

The Green Wave pulled off a miraculous win over Houston last week and are now +10 in the turnover department in the last five games. As predicted, Memphis won the turnover battle against Temple 2-1 and have now turned the ball over less than two times in six of nine games - turning the ball over two times, twice. Tulane has forced at least three turnovers in six of nine games - forcing two turnovers, twice. If Memphis wins the turnover battle, then they will cover. Temple had 158 yards rushing against Memphis, but 75 of those yards came on one carry. Six of nine Memphis games have had less than 24 points scored in the second half. In addition, six of nine Tulane games have had 24 or less scored in the second half.

Pick: Memphis -9.5
Pick: Second half under (should be about 24)

South Florida (3-6) at Southern Methodist (0-8)

Somehow SMU averages 10 fewer points per game at home than on the road. USF averages a touchdown more per game when playing on the road. Most SMU games have gone over the total because they played offenses that single handily went over the number. Freshman Quinton Flowers was named starting quarterback for the Bulls early in the week. Late this week, his half-brother was killed in a shooting. Flowers has gone through a lot of adversity in his life, losing his father when he was seven and his mother passed away while he was in high school. I believe he will overcome the tragic week and show poise.

USF has scored over 17 points twice this year - at Tulsa and against an FCS team. I expect a defensive touchdown in this game, but it will still stay under the total. SMU is so bad that the only way this game goes over the total is if USF scores at least 30. I don't think that happens. SMU has scored over 10 points only twice this year - at East Carolina and at Tulsa (I told you Tulsa's D is bad). USF is the last team that SMU defeated back on November 23^rd of last year. USF is 5-4 against the spread this year and are 2-1 on the road and 2-1 as a favorite. SMU is 2-6 overall against the spread and is 0-4 at home. Doubling down on games last week hurt me, but I will take the risk here. The over/under seems 4 to 5 points too high.

Pick: First half under 24.5
Pick: First half South Florida -6.5
Pick: Under 48
Pick: South Florida -10

Thu, Nov 13, 2014
7:00 PM ET ESPN2	East Carolina	at	Cincinnati
8:00 PM ET CBSS	Southern Miss	at	Texas-San Antonio
9:00 PM ET ESPN	Cal	at	USC
Fri, Nov 14, 2014
8:00 PM ET ESPN2	Tulsa	at	UCF
Sat, Nov 15, 2014
12:00 PM ET ESPNU	Virginia Tech	at	(21) Duke
12:00 PM ET SECN	South Carolina	at	Florida
12:00 PM ET ESPN	(19) Clemson	at	(22) Georgia Tech
12:00 PM ET ESPN2	Temple	at	Penn State
12:00 PM ET BTN/BTN2	Iowa	at	Illinois
12:00 PM ET ABC/ESPN3	(8) Ohio State	at	(25) Minnesota
12:00 PM ET CBSS	Army	at	Western Kentucky
12:30 PM ET ESPN3/ESGP	Pittsburgh	at	North Carolina
1:00 PM ET ESPN3	Miami (OH)	at	Central Michigan
2:00 PM ET ROOT	Nevada	at	Air Force
2:00 PM ET ESPN3	Eastern Michigan	at	Western Michigan
2:30 PM ET FSN	Rice	at	Marshall
3:00 PM ET ESPN3/ESGP	Wake Forest	at	NC State
3:00 PM ET FS1	(4) TCU	at	Kansas
3:00 PM ET ESPN3	Appalachian State	at	Arkansas State
3:30 PM ET CBSS	Georgia Southern	at	Navy
3:30 PM ET NBC	Northwestern	at	(18) Notre Dame
3:30 PM ET BTN/BTN2	Indiana	at	Rutgers
3:30 PM ET CBS	(1) Mississippi State	at	(5) Alabama
3:30 PM ET ESPN	Oklahoma	at	Texas Tech
3:30 PM ET ABC/ESPN3	(16) Nebraska	at	(20) Wisconsin
3:30 PM ET FOX	Washington	at	(14) Arizona
3:30 PM ET AMSN	Middle Tennessee	at	FIU
3:30 PM ET ESPNU	Memphis	at	Tulane
4:00 PM ET SECN	Kentucky	at	Tennessee
4:00 PM ET ESPNN	New Mexico	at	Utah State
4:30 PM ET OCPV	Hawaii	at	San Jose State
5:00 PM ET ESPN3	Troy	at	Idaho
6:00 PM ET PAC12	(23) Utah	at	Stanford
7:00 PM ET ESPNU	UNLV	at	BYU
7:00 PM ET ESPN3	Louisiana-Lafayette	at	Louisiana-Monroe
7:15 PM ET ESPN	(9) Auburn	at	(15) Georgia
7:30 PM ET FOX	Texas	at	Oklahoma State
7:30 PM ET SECN	Missouri	at	(24) Texas A&M
7:30 PM ET ESPN3	Texas State	at	South Alabama
8:00 PM ET BTN/BTN2	(12) Michigan State	at	Maryland
8:00 PM ET ABC/ESPN3	(3) Florida State	at	Miami (FL)
8:00 PM ET ESPN2	(17) LSU	at	Arkansas
8:00 PM ET CBSS	South Florida	at	SMU
10:00 PM ET FS1	North Texas	at	UTEP
10:15 PM ET ESPNU	San Diego State	at	Boise State
10:45 PM ET ESPN	(6) Arizona State	at	Oregon State