UConn getting by, but Walker needs even more help from his friends
UConn got by Texas on Saturday to give its non-conference resume a bit of a boost, but until Kemba Walker gets a little (more) help from his friends, the Huskies are going to continue to struggle to beat good teams.
Walker got the most support he's had from his backing band offensively against a quality opponent since Maui, with three non-Kemba players (Shabazz Napier, Alex Oriakhi, Roscoe Smith) breaking into double-digits, and two more (Donnell Beverly, Charles Okwandu) hitting season-highs.
And yet, perhaps the Huskies' most meaningful win of the season, one that head coach Jim Calhoun labeled "Our best win of the year," basically came down to a little luck; not only did Walker's miracle Taliek Brown-esque heave somehow find the bottom of the net, but the Longhorns also opened overtime by missing three free throws.
Despite the loss, Texas essentially laid out the blueprint for beating the Huskies: take out the head (Walker), and the body will fall. (Unfortunately for the Longhorns, Walker had enough postmortem chicken-like pep to finish the final five minutes as strong as ever, and, as noted above, the much-maligned support on offense played uncharacteristically well. Most teams will likely be willing to take the risk of repeat performances.)
By duct-taping Dogus Balbay or Cory Joseph on Walker and collapsing the interior defense any time the UConn point guard even sniffed the paint, Texas held Walker to arguably his worst game of the season. Although he scored 22 points and accumulated nine rebounds, the nation's leading scorer shot 8-for-27 (29.6 pct.) from the field and finished with a 1-to-4 assist-to-turnover ratio.
With the Longhorns' entire defense keyed on Walker and with two and sometimes three defenders swarming him, Walker's supporting cast should've had a field day. But despite having their best offensive performance of the season, the offering made by The Walkers was (predictably) modest, at best.
Despite finishing with an impressive 11 points and 21 rebounds, Alex Oriakhi proved once against that he has no offensive game whatsoever. To be fair, Oriakhi was a vital part of this win, as his dominance of the boards (he corralled almost 25% of the available rebounds) and defense (two blocks, one steal) proved irreplaceable. But a 31 percent (5-for-16) field goal percentage from a player whose shots all come from within two feet is unbelievably gruesome; it's already bad enough that Oriakhi (or Ben Wallace without the zany hair) can't score on isolations, but blowing wide-open looks and his usual putbacks is inexcusable.
The rest of the motley crew wasn't much better:
Tyler Olander (2-for-7) should never be within five feet of the ball on offense; Donnell Beverly (2-for-6) should stick to ball-handling; and while Shabazz's disregard for sanity is cute now and it paid off Saturday (15 points, 6-for-10 shooting), his apathy toward shot selection has put him on the fast track to becoming the next Jerome Dyson, my least favorite UConn player ever.
All things considered, the two most encouraging non-Kemba performances came from the Huskies' worst offensive player (Okwandu; 3-for-4, 7 points) and one who took the worst/best shot ever (Smith; 6-for-11, 13 points, 6 rebounds).
If this is the best the rest has to offer, the Huskies have reason to worry.
And yet, they have reason for optimism, too.
Kemba played his worst game of the season ... and UConn still won. For a team with so many flaws, that's damn encouraging, especially when, coming into the season, the Huskies weren't supposed to compete with the best in their conference, let alone the country.
And that's almost entirely a product of how good Walker has been this season. Even with such poor options to dish to, and with Texas' defense forcing Walker, one of the best at driving the lane in college basketball, to play off the ball and as more of a spot-up shooter in regulation, he was still able to score a game-high 22 points and will the team to victory in overtime. (Watch the overtime period again: No UConn player wanted anything to do with the ball in crunch time and kicked it back to the him like a hot potato as quickly as possible.)
But it's also a product of Oriakhi's development. As bad as he is on offense, Oriakhi has the potential to be one of the better rebounders in the country -- as of Sunday, he was 40th in the NCAA and second in the Big East in rebounds per game; and 15th in the NCAA and first in the Big East in offensive rebounds per game. And his work on the glass appeared to have made the difference Saturday.
UConn's defense was solid. Texas', though, was better: The Longhorns actually out-shot the Huskies in every period (43.4%-35.3% in the first, 46.7%-40.5% in the second, 50%-37.5% in OT).
But UConn fired off 16 more field goal attempts, including 12 in the second half. Not coincidentally, the Huskies also had 10 more rebounds than the Longhorns. So while the quality of their offense was actually worse than usual -- as a team, UConn shot exactly five field goal percentage points lower than its current season average -- the Huskies were able to band-aid some of it with quantity.
The approach won't work all of the time; Oriakhi isn't a fully refined rebounder, as evidenced by the fact that he accumulated fewer than half the rebounds than he had Saturday in the Huskies' previous three games (two losses and one OT stinker vs. South Florida). But when it does (and when Kemba chips in his usual 20-plus), the Huskies, despite their offensive shortcomings, have a chance to hang with the likes of Texas.
And considering the expectations (or lack thereof) coming into the season, we'll take that.
But if one of the youngins could develop into scoring threat, or even if a select few could produce with any semblance of consistency -- aside from Walker and Oriakhi, only Jeremy Lamb, who had zero points in eight minutes Saturday, has scored more than 10 points in more than two consecutive games -- the Huskies could be even more.
They might need to be now.
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Jesus
This is the most stupidly negative review I’ve ever seen. Not just because they got a MASSIVE win on the road in a place that almost nobody ever wins, but because it’s shortsighted.
-That awful supporting cast kept them in the game in the first half when Kemba wasn’t doing anything
-Oriakhi was incredible, specifically on the boards, against a very good frontcourt
-The reason they took so many shots was they KILLED Texas on the glass, which is a huge positive and nothing else
-Calling this Kemba’s worst game is nuts, I’d argue the ND game was undoubtedly worse and maybe the USF game was too; he only single-handedly got the game to OT and won it there while being chased by the best on-ball defender in America in Balbay
-UConn had only 9 turnovers, and none in the first 15 minutes of the second half, which is an incredible number/run that deserves NOTHING but praise…feel free to use the Kemba A/TO number to misconstrue that, though
There were negatives, no doubt. They should have put the game away in regulation (Okwandu’s 2 dropped rebounds on one possesion in the last minute would have probably done as much).
Tyler Olander can’t shoot…but he’s getting wide open looks.
Shabazz got shooter-happy…but only because he hit a couple of big shots.
I like your perspective usually, Justin, but everything about this is why people hate Connecticut sports fans. They’re always negative and they always look for any reason to tear things down.
There is still a lot to fix for this UConn team. But this team with so many issues went into Austin and did something nobody else in America has done for 2 years.
If you’re going to spend all day trying to keep people from getting excited over that, then you should just find your local ASPCA and ask if you can kick a few kittens around to keep yourself on an “even keel”.
Respectfully,
Did you not read the one after it?
Or, for that matter, anything after it?
by UConnBlog Justin on Jan 10, 2011 1:41 PM EST up reply actions
Yeah
I’m just surprised after that win you’d frame reason for optomisim shrouded in a cloud of doubt instead of “hey, great win, here’s a few things to work on”.
The first half of it just sounded very, very, very negative.
Also: The reason Oriakhi had so many shots? 10 offensive rebounds. Yeah, he should have made more. But the reason he had so many shots in the first place is mostly why they won the game.
Not to repeat myself
but did you read this whole thing?
I have nothing negative to say about Oriakhi’s rebounding. It was awesome. The problem is what he does with those rebounds after corralling them. Making 31 percent of shots presumably all in the basket area is stupid bad.
by UConnBlog Justin on Jan 10, 2011 2:17 PM EST up reply actions
You say negative, I say rational
My goal in this was not to be a buzz kill. You say it’s “shortsighted,” but, I think it’s probably more all-encompassing than what’s being written in the wake of this game. Instead of using the paint-by-numbers approach and saying, “Yeah! We rule!” for 1,000 words, I think it’s important to put things in perspective. I HOPE things continue, and thus, I laid out HOW this can happen.
I’ll admit, I’m more cynical than most, and perhaps that clouds the way people read my stuff. (As does my liking of the NBA, which probably makes me more tough on less-skilled college players.) But, aside from a few jabs here and there, I thought this was more a positive outlook. To retort to a few individual things:
— Oriakhi was awesome on the boards, and I said as much, noting that it was probably the difference in the game (which would be my response to your next claim). But he can’t have shitty rebounding games like the previous three because of the offensive deficiencies (my overall point). Again, if the can’t beat people with quality, they need to do it with quantity.
— Calling this Kemba’s worse game is accurate. He took 27 shots and made 8. Statistically, that’s his worse game. Balbay was a huge part (not sure he’s the best on-ball defender, but whatever). … Which is all the more reason why the supporting cast needs to step up. … Which is my goal in bringing that up.
— I never said anything about the team’s turnover ratio. I only said Kemba’s was bad, which it is. (And explained by the fact that he had to play off the ball.) But feel free to use that number to misconstrue things.
— I love kittens.
Admittedly, the timing of this might seem weird to some. But I thought Porter hit all the high notes in the other post, so I didn’t want to repeat what he had. However, I’m expecting more and more teams to guard Kemba like that, making the play of the supporting cast even more crucial.
by UConnBlog Justin on Jan 10, 2011 2:12 PM EST up reply actions
But CAN They Guard Kemba Like That?
Well, Rutgers is an unfair measure because guards light them up. But I think it’ll be hard for anyone to come close to having a Balbay-like performance guarding him.
Statistically it was Kemba’s worst game, but he got the shots to fall late. At ND he was 8-23 and didn’t get anything to fall late, didn’t hit a single three, and had foul trouble. Sorry, that was worse.
I don’t see what Oriakhi’s previous three bad rebounding games have to do with the one we are analyzing except to show that the guy is capable of Going All Stanley Robinson and disappearing. After the ND game he told the press that him & JC agreed he needed to hit the offensive glass before he worked on anything else to try and fix his funk. They were in Texas for 3 days, and whatever they did worked.
Plus, everyone knows our main offensive weapon in terms of efficency is the Charter Ok.
Also, I enjoy kittens as well.
I don't think an all-world on-ball defender is crucial
Kemba’s biggest strength is attacking and driving to the rim. You take that away by collapsing the defense around him when he drives. Even without a Balbay, you can turn him into a spot-up shooter. Now, because of his improved jumper, that’s not as attractive an option as it was, say, last year. But I think it’s the lesser of two evils.
UConn has played, like, eight games worth noting. So I think the fact that Oriakhi couldn’t rebound in three of them is important, especially since they’re conference games. Also, UConn won the rebounding battle against Notre Dame (With Oriakhi getting a respectable 6) and still lost. So I’m worried it’s going to take this kind of dominance again — which is a lot to ask for — in order to beat good teams.
And this whole thing is against good teams. I think we’re probably past worrying about Seton Hall and such, aside from the trap game here or there.
by UConnBlog Justin on Jan 10, 2011 2:39 PM EST up reply actions
The last two sentences are most important here, I think.
Although this whole argument has been informative, entertaining, and rational, I think there is an issue of expectations with this team. Because of Maui and a crappy talent pool this year, we’re now certain that UConn is not going to go 15-15 (i.e., having to worry about teams like Seton Hall); that fact is at least a little surprising based on the roster and Calbertus Magnus’s history with young teams.
Justin, you brought up your affiliation with/affinity for the NBA; obviously, if you ask the NBA commentator, be-all-end-all question of, “Can this team win a championship?” the answer is a resounding “no.” They are too young. They are a one-man team, with little hope that Oriakhi can make them a two-man team (by the way, and I am loathe to unironically narrativize a player’s game by using flimsy personality/character indicators, but doesn’t Oriakhi’s body language—the whiny, long-armed loping after foul calls, the over-expressive bewilderment on the bench after he gets pulled—kind of a position him as an anti-Woyah?). Their rebounding and interior defense will be an issue in the BE. Duke would beat them 19 out of 20 times.
The question then becomes, “does that NBA question mean as much in Storrs as it does in MSG or the Staples Center?” And the answer to THAT question, this particular year, is no. I guess I align myself more with zls in this sense: Calhoun teams not in the 04, 06, 09 mold should not be held to the NBA-question standard. This year, only really Duke should hold themselves to that standard. I hold this UConn team to the down-year standards (00, 07, for example), and then I can bask in their flawed over-achievement in a diluted college BB talent pool.
As you might have figured, I’ve been struggling with where I should be this season with this team: after Maui, I had to contemplate thinking BE championship, but Justin’s right. Pitt, ND, and Texas showed that this team isn’t in that stratosphere.
In conclusion, both of you are right but in different ways.
Fold the football program, and deposit monies previously budgeted for said program into a savings account in Coach Calbertus Magnus's name.
Unless the football program hires Mike Leach, in which case: Awesome.
loath* to unironically narrativize
Always do that.
Fold the football program, and deposit monies previously budgeted for said program into a savings account in Coach Calbertus Magnus's name.
Unless the football program hires Mike Leach, in which case: Awesome.
I agree with that
I don’t want to hold this team to lofty standards, because, as you said, expecting awesomeness this season is quite ridiculous when you factor in the preseason expectations and the fact that it has 50 freshmen. But I also find it hard not to nit-pick, based on my nature and the nature of sports in general.
by UConnBlog Justin on Jan 10, 2011 5:31 PM EST up reply actions
Having said that
I do appreciate the response. I value ya’lls’ opinions, and discussing this whole thing is why I enjoy this blog.
by UConnBlog Justin on Jan 10, 2011 2:24 PM EST up reply actions 1 recs
Seriously?
I think you’re spot on with much of this, though, whether it was your intention or not, it does come off as remarkably negative. Still, if Shabazz (BE Rookie of the Week) is on track to being your least favorite UConn player of all time maybe you should root for BC or something.
I think Justin's point
was that it’s awesome when Shabazz is making those shots, just like it was awesome when Dyson had those lights-out games (see Texas last year, just off the top of my head). But Punctuation’s shot selection doesn’t augur well for the future.
Then again, Dyson (career season high: 34.6% from 3 in 2008-09) never approached 38% from 3 (which is what SHABAZZ~! is shooting now…seriously), so until he cools off, Shabazz can take any shot he wants, except for the Roscoe Smith Memorial 85-Footer.
UConn: Where we proudlyish carry on the dual traditions of great women's basketball teams and awful school commercials.
by Kevin Meacham on Jan 10, 2011 4:28 PM EST up reply actions
You're Right
In retrospect I probably should’ve made my point in a less curmudgeonly fashion. I get where you’re coming from on Napier’s frustrating shot selection and he certainly has a quick trigger. That said, Shabazz is also outpacing Jerome’s best years in effective FG% (49%), and he’s matching Jerome’s best year (07-08) in true shooting percentage (54%). Perhaps most importantly his Offensive Rating, a measure of offensive efficiency is 110.6 which beats Jerome’s best of 106.2 (before the knee injury in 08-09) and far outpaces his rather inefficient 96.2 last season. Also, for what it’s worth, Shabazz’ numbers stack up pretty comperably to Kemba’s his freshman year. (KW had slightly better eFG%, and TS%, though he was far worse from 3, with a slightly lower O-Rating).
I guess all I’m saying is that I do not consider him on track to be my least favorite Husky, nor I feel do most fans. I think because of his confidence and ballhandling ability as a freshman, not to mention sportswriter-endorsed “scrappiness” (the kid wears kneepads for Chrissakes!) he has endeared himself to most Husky fans. To each his own I guess, but for an unheralded recruit I think you have to be pretty excited with the contribution he is giving this year.
by CJ17098 on Jan 10, 2011 8:20 PM EST up reply actions 1 recs
No joke
I love everything about this comment. The measured use of useful and telling stats, the snark, the seemingly irrefutable point that Shabazz is awesomely fun to watch…
We have good commentors here.
UConn: Where we proudlyish carry on the dual traditions of great women's basketball teams and awful school commercials.
by Kevin Meacham on Jan 10, 2011 11:42 PM EST up reply actions
A Cowherd disciple?
This seems like contrarian bloviation masquerading as insight. What strikes me as most absurd is that you chronicle the reasons for concern against the backdrop of a road win over one of the ten best teams in the country.
If your argument is that they’re going to need more than we saw saturday to beat the handful of teams in the country arguably better than Texas in their own gyms …. well…. okay. But how is that in any way insightful?
by BigErnMcCracken on Jan 10, 2011 4:32 PM EST reply actions
Because it's relavant
UConn has to play about six-ish more games against teams better than Texas, which is not a top-10 outfit. And that’s not counting any tournament play.
by UConnBlog Justin on Jan 10, 2011 5:30 PM EST up reply actions

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