Our Cal > Your Fake Cal: A UConn-Kentucky preview
All that is good and holy about college basketball.
Satan is said to have closed one eye for every program he's left in NCAA purgatory.
(No TheLiveBlog tonight, from me, anyway. (Porter's note: I doubt will have one, but lets try an open thread thing. I'll try to post some comments below during the game, readers, please chime in.) I'm taking wonderful New Jersey Transit over to Madison Square Garden to take part in tonight's SEC-Big East Invitational festivities. Perhaps Porter or Shuttlesworth will have something up, though.)
First of all, before we get into the game preview, a fond welcome to Maurice Harkless, a class of 2011 wing who is rated four stars by Rivals.com. He announced his decision to join Coach Cal-a-mania Wednesday afternoon. In the Rivals article detailing his committment, Harkless is compared to West Virginia's Devin Ebanks and, at 6-foot-7, is said to possess a 7-foot-2 wingspan. Now get us Brandon Knight and an awkward-yet-talented 7-footer and that 2012 national title should wrap itself up.
But on with the game.
There's a strange sense of inevitability about tonight's game against #4 Kentucky in New York City. Sort of like the exact opposite of my feeling before the Elite Eight game last year.
UConn's probably going to lose tonight. Kentucky has returned to their place in the college hoops elite, and they're doing it with one of the most impressive group of athletes I've seen since the 2006 UConn team.
Their coach may be a no-good dirty squid who would use smiling schoolchildren as bait if it let him bring in Godzilla to play the 5, but damn if the man can't get his record wiped clean by the NCAA after leaving a program assemble a team to run his offense.
John Wall and Patrick Patterson scare the living hell out of me. UConn appears to be a ridiculously flawed team that deserves to be nowhere near the top 20 at the moment.
It theoretically should add up to the Wildcats opening a can of whoop-ass on UConn tonight at the World's Most Famous Arena.
While it could get that bad, ultimately I think Kentucky will only end up winning by 5-10 points. Anything above that is gravy and most likely a big step forward for this team as it awaits the return of Ater Majok. At the very least, it means UConn fans (and hopefully players) can head into tonight's game feeling no pressure.
My cardinal rule in life: if you have expectations of failure, then you'll always be 1) correct or 2) successful. I can be happy either way.
The game: #4 Kentucky (8-0) vs. #14 UConn (6-1), Big East-SEC Invitational
The place: Madison Square Garden, New York
The time: 9:30 p.m., or 30 minutes after St. John's and Georgia set back the game of basketball 20 years
The media: ESPN (TV), WTIC 1080-AM (radio)
The Vegas favorite: A pick-em?
Series history: UConn leads, 1-0
Last meeting: UConn 87, Kentucky 83 (March 19, 2006 in Philadelphia, NCAA Tournament Second Round game)
Ah, the 2006 NCAA game everyone forgets about. It was fairly close, as I remember, though Kentucky never seriously threatened to take the lead late. But no one remembers it because it was sandwiched between the Albany panic attack, the Washington heart palpitations and that other game.
In addition, UConn is 2-1 all-time against Calipari, with the two wins coming against Amherst State Penitentiary, and the loss coming against Memphis in the 2007 2K Sports Classic in MSG.
State of the Huskies: We suck.
Jeremy Lin of Harvard became the next in the line of "mid-major players who look like stars against UConn," scoring 30 points and keeping the Crimson in Sunday's game at Gampel. Lin's good, but he looked like the best player on the floor Sunday, and that is simply sad.
Jerome Dyson had a great line, but continued to play exactly as he did a few years ago - wild, off-balance 16-footers and uncontrolled drives into traffic underneath the basket.
The bench continues to be a nonfactor, by far the most disappointing subplot of the early season. Tuff McJuice, "No Nickname" Smith, D-Bev, Charter Ok, Other Jamaal...none of them have contributed much of substance. True, Cal hasn't let them contribute (because every game has been close), but at some point the kids gotta step up.
On the positive side: Gavin Edwards is suddenly a consistent scorer and rebounder, Kemba Walker is developing a 3-point shot, which is pretty much the only thing standing between him and world domination, and Real Coach Cal remains as fiery as ever.
Another positive: we're only 11 days away from it getting Majok-cal.
So, tell me a little bit about the Wildcats:
They're good. Fake Coach Cal has put together some horses that could challenge for the Final Four, although they're still a very young team. A solid win over North Carolina looks even better because of the 31-4 first-half UK used to take control.
But the Wildcats, like UConn, have also struggled with mediocre opponents, needing some late-game heroics to beat Miami (OH), Stanford and Sam Houston State.
Either way, it's better for UConn to catch them now than before they really gel in a couple months.
Check out the game notes: UConn's are here, while Kentucky’s are here.
Media matters:
- Youth A Concern For UConn, Kentucky (Courant)
Everyone keeps saying that UConn and Kentucky are kind of alike, but I keep being a pessimist and say that UConn has four contributing players right now.
- Kentucky-UConn pre-game analysis (A Sea Of Blue)
Excellent statistical rundown on what to expect tonight. I love reading previews like this one, though writing-wise, it's much easier to lob insults toward the opposing coach and complain about how bad Tuff McJuice is at shooting the 3.
What I'm trying to say is, check them out.
From the national media people:
KEMBA!
Dana O'Neil cuts us deep by noting that Coach Cal has never tried to choke Fake Coach Cal. Not everyone can act out their dreams of choking John Calipari, Ms. O'Neil. Stop rubbing it in.
- Wall, Kentucky ready to dazzle again (USA Today)
A brief preview: I dread this game.
Kentucky is a matchup nightmare because they're somehow longer and more athletic than UConn, and they've got players who can flat out score. Wall (18.1 ppg), Patterson (16.6 ppg) and DeMarcus Cousins (14.8 ppg) get all the publicity, but three other players (Eric Bledsoe, Darnell Dodson and Darius Miller) are all near double-figures in scoring.
Of course, Wall by himself (7.7 apg, 4.1 rpg, 2.1 spg) is terrifying, though I am anxious to see how Jerome Dyson (not Kemba, since Wall is 6-4) can do defensively against the freshman.
A win would be fantastic, and yet another feather in the Big East's abnormally-sized cap (holler if you hear me, 16th-place, 6-3 Providence). A loss would be somewhat expected, but I'll settle for a decent game from SOMEBODY, ANYBODY besides Dyson/Sticks/Kemba.
Let's show a pulse and show we at least belong on the court with a top-five team, unlike UConn's last effort at MSG 12 days ago.
The prediction:
Kentucky 85, UConn 77
0 recs |
14 comments
Comments
This is a joke right? Kentucky barely beat a UNC team at home that Syracuse beat by 20+ and you’re scared to death of them??
UConn can match Kentucky athlete for athlete. The Harvard game meant nothing because the Huskies were obviously looking ahead to Kentucky. UConn will stomp Kentucky tonight.
by Sean on Dec 9, 2009 4:11 PM EST reply actions 0 recs
@Sean, not to mention Kentucky blew a 20-point lead against UNC to almost lose.
by Tommy Tutone on Dec 9, 2009 4:15 PM EST reply actions 0 recs
Yeah because UConn has those multiple scoring options and the superior rebounding and the three point shooting. Oh wait, we don’t have any of those. Which one of UConn’s games has impressd you enough this year to think we can beat Syracuse right now?
As much as I might hate to say it in this case it might be Cuse > UK > UNC > wherever down the line UConn is.
UConn only beats UK tonight is Kemba/Stanley/Dyson are at the top of their game and the new guys really step it up. I am terrified of John Wall, especially when you put a potential future star on the biggest stage in basketball
by Fergy on Dec 9, 2009 4:20 PM EST reply actions 0 recs
The good thing about this game is, even if UConn loses, it will eventually be forfeited anyway.
Also, this Kentucky team reminds me of the 2007-08 Memphis team on steroids, right down to the fact that 1/4 of the players will soon be deemed academically ineligible.
Sorry, I mean players that fit the description of 1/4 of their players. (Take that, libel police!)
by Jesus Shuttlesworth on Dec 9, 2009 4:51 PM EST reply actions 0 recs
I mean, I’m more scared of Syracuse than I am of Kentucky. What with all that half court dilly dallying and zone D. Our style of play—relying mostly on talent alone plus this awkward plays-too-hard-gym-class toughness of Gavin Edwards—matches up better with Kentucky. If they have an off night against a ranked opponent at MSG then we have a decent shot.
The important thing here is that, as was mentioned in the Sea of Blue blog, we have guys who can step up on the wing like Jamaal Trice and Alex Hornat.
by pont on Dec 9, 2009 8:55 PM EST reply actions 0 recs
KU’s going to win. UConn doesn’t have enough depth and there’s a good chance Gavin and Uruk-Hai are in foul trouble early. And, as it’s been noted everywhere, UConn has the worst bench in the history of benches.
If Cal keeps it close and they rebound, I’ll be ecstatic.
by gxpanos on Dec 9, 2009 9:04 PM EST reply actions 0 recs
Also, the UConnBlog: your time-stamp thingee is an hour off.
by gxpanos on Dec 9, 2009 9:05 PM EST reply actions 0 recs
Can someone explain to me why Okawndu is still starting? Dear lord.
by Porter on Dec 9, 2009 9:41 PM EST reply actions 0 recs
Okay, checkin in here now as UConn has gone up 22-18. UConn came out playing horrible basketball, but for the last 8 minutes or so have been the team that we thought they potentially could be at the start of the year. It does not hurt that four of UK’s starters have 4 fouls, but I at least feel better than I did when it was 12-0 UK. Stix needs to show up though if UConn wants to keep this up.
by Andrew Porter on Dec 9, 2009 10:18 PM EST reply actions 0 recs
Perhaps the most interesting thing to note about UConn tonight. There are currently 4 minutes left in the first half and I do not believe UConn has taken a single jump shot from behind the free throw line.
by Andrew Porter on Dec 9, 2009 10:22 PM EST reply actions 0 recs
And ESPN just dropped the signal, luckily it is right before halftime so hopefully we’ll get it back. Wall, who had an unbelievable start to the half sat the last 8 minutes with two fouls, so we’ll see what he brings to the second half. I am not comfortable with the lead, nor was I happy with the first five minutes the first half, but it sure better than what could have been.
by Andrew Porter on Dec 9, 2009 10:33 PM EST reply actions 0 recs
Can somebody tell me whether or not Kentucky has a freshman point guard? If so, I was wondering where I could go to hear about him?
by gxpanos on Dec 9, 2009 10:59 PM EST reply actions 0 recs
Incredibly dumb foul by Dyson, picking up his 4th with about 7:30 left. Wall was on a breakaway and Dyson hit him going for and did not even affect the shot. It was an incredibly dumb, pointless foul that came at exactly the time UConn could not afford to lose Dyson. If this stays close and UConn loses, I’ll look back to that foul.
by Andrew Porter on Dec 9, 2009 11:26 PM EST reply actions 0 recs

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